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[this is a data cube dataset] A data cube dataset in folders : Economic Activity, Benefits and Tax Credits, Scottish Government

Unemployment Model Based Estimates

Unemployment Model Based Estimates (level and rate)

View as a spreadsheet
Dimensions
Dimension
Value
Measure Type
  1. 95% Lower Confidence Limit
  2. 95% Upper Confidence Limit
  3. Count
  4. Ratio
Reference Period
  1. 2004-Q4
  2. 2005-Q1
  3. 2005-Q2
  4. 2005-Q3
  5. 2005-Q4
  6. 2006-Q1
  7. 2006-Q2
  8. 2006-Q3
  9. 2006-Q4
  10. 2007-Q1
  11. 2007-Q2
  12. 2007-Q3
  13. 2007-Q4
  14. 2008-Q1
  15. 2008-Q2
  16. 2008-Q3
  17. 2008-Q4
  18. 2009-Q1
  19. 2009-Q2
  20. 2009-Q3
  21. 2009-Q4
  22. 2010-Q1
  23. 2010-Q2
  24. 2010-Q3
  25. 2010-Q4
  26. 2011-Q1
  27. 2011-Q2
  28. 2011-Q3
  29. 2011-Q4
  30. 2012-Q1
  31. 2012-Q2
  32. 2012-Q3
  33. 2012-Q4
  34. 2013-Q1
  35. 2013-Q2
  36. 2013-Q3
  37. 2013-Q4
  38. 2014-Q1
  39. 2014-Q2
  40. 2014-Q3
  41. 2014-Q4
  42. 2015-Q1
  43. 2015-Q2
  44. 2015-Q3
  45. 2015-Q4
  46. 2016-Q1
  47. 2016-Q2
  48. 2016-Q3
  49. 2016-Q4
  50. 2017-Q1
  51. 2017-Q2
  52. 2017-Q3
  53. 2017-Q4
  54. 2018-Q1
  55. 2018-Q2
  56. 2018-Q3
Reference Area
(showing types of area available in these data)
  1. Countries
  2. Council Areas
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Entire dataset
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CSVN-Triples
About the Dataset
Contact
Publisher
Scottish Government
Creator
Scottish Government
In folders
License
Issued
29/07/2014
Modified
02/02/2019
Next update due
April 2019
Description

The model-based estimate produces a single-best estimate for total unemployment for the local area.

The Annual Population Survey (APS, on which these estimates are based) is published quarterly, but with each publication including data for one year. The four publications per year cover the periods January to December; April to March of the following year; July to June of the following year; and October to September of the following year. Three quarters of the survey observations included in one publication will therefore be included in the following publication. The model-based unemployment estimates (and the direct APS survey estimates) represent valid estimates for the period to which they refer but because, as explained above, estimates from consecutive quarters are based on common observations they are not independent, and should not be used for comparisons over time.

Comparisons over time for say the latest annual estimate should only be made using estimates for the same period a year earlier, as the data for these two periods will not include any common observations. Estimates of economic activity status are usually taken from surveys of individuals (nationally from the Labour Force Survey, and from the annual Labour Force Survey or Annual Population Survey for smaller areas). However for most local areas, even the Annual Population Survey does not have a sufficiently large sample to provide precise estimates of unemployment. For this reason a statistical model has been developed to improve the annual LFS/APS estimates of unemployment, for small areas, by using supplementary information, mainly the numbers of claimants of Jobseekers' Allowance (the claimant count). The claimant count is not a measure of unemployment as not all unemployed people are eligible for the benefit (and some legitimate claimants would be considered to be employed under the International Labour Organization definition of employment). However, the claimant count does have a high positive correlation with the number of unemployed people in an area, and it is an administrative count so it is known without sampling error.

The model considers unemployment from the annual LFS/APS and claimant count for six age and sex groups, and also includes a socio-economic area indicator and a random area effect. The relationship between claimant count and the number of unemployed may be different in two areas in spite of them sharing the same factors in the model and this last term is included in order to model these random local differences. The inclusion of the random effect term gives the model-based estimates the property that, for sufficiently large samples, they will coincide with the direct survey estimates.

Details
Confidentiality Policy
Not supplied
Quality Management

Details on the methodology and quality assurance of Annual Population Survey data can be found on the ONS website

Accuracy and Reliability

Where the estimate is unreliable (i.e. the group sample size is 3-9 or estimate is less than 500) or the group sample size is zero or disclosive (0-2), the data has been removed.

Coherence and Comparability

The Scottish Government publishes reports which present analysis on the labour market at Scotland and sub-Scotland levels.

Accessibility and Clarity
Not supplied
Relevance
Not supplied
Timeliness and Punctuality
Not supplied
Revisions
Not supplied
URI

This is a linked data resource: it has a permanent unique uri at which both humans and machines can find it on the Internet, and which can be used an identifier in queries on our SPARQL endpoint.

http://statistics.gov.scot/data/unemployment-model-based-estimates
Dimensions Linked Data

A linked data-orientated view of dimensions and values

Dimension Locked Value
Reference Area
http://purl.org/linked-data/sdmx/2009/dimension#refArea
(not locked to a value)
Reference Period
http://purl.org/linked-data/sdmx/2009/dimension#refPeriod
(not locked to a value)
Measure Type
http://purl.org/linked-data/cube#measureType
(not locked to a value)
Graphs

Linked Data is stored in graphs. We keep dataset contents (the data) separately from the metadata, to make it easier for you to find exactly what you need.

The data in this dataset are stored in the graph: http://statistics.gov.scot/graph/unemployment-model-based-estimates

The data structure definition for this data cube dataset is stored in the same graph as the data: http://statistics.gov.scot/graph/unemployment-model-based-estimates

All other metadata about this dataset are stored in the graph: http://statistics.gov.scot/graph/unemployment-model-based-estimates/metadata

Linked Data Resources

A breakdown by type of the 7,405 resources in this dataset's data graph.

Resource type Number of resources
Collection 2
Component specification 9
Data set 1
Data structure definition 1
Observation 7,392
All metadata
In Graph http://statistics.gov.scot/graph/unemployment-model-based-estimates/metadata
Accuracy and Reliability http://statistics.gov.scot/def/statistical-quality/accuracy-and-reliability
Where the estimate is unreliable (i.e. the group sample size is 3-9 or estimate is less than 500) or the group sample size is zero or disclosive (0-2), the data has been removed. xsd:string
Comment rdfs:comment http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment
Unemployment Model Based Estimates (level and rate) xsd:string
Comparability and Coherence http://statistics.gov.scot/def/statistical-quality/comparability-and-coherence
The Scottish Government publishes reports which [present analysis on the labour market](https://www.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Labour-Market/Publications) at Scotland and sub-Scotland levels. xsd:string
Contact email http://publishmydata.com/def/dataset#contactEmail
mailto:lmstats@gov.scot
Creator dcterms:creator http://purl.org/dc/terms/creator
Scottish Government http://statistics.gov.scot/id/organisation/scottish-government
Date Issued dcterms:issued http://purl.org/dc/terms/issued
July 29, 2014 00:00 xsd:dateTime
Date Modified dcterms:modified http://purl.org/dc/terms/modified
February 02, 2019 23:15 xsd:dateTime
Description dcterms:description http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
The model-based estimate produces a single-best estimate for total unemployment for the local area. The Annual Population Survey (APS, on which these estimates are based) is published quarterly, but with each publication including data for one year. The four publications per year cover the periods January to December; April to March of the following year; July to June of the following year; and October to September of the following year. Three quarters of the survey observations included in one publication will therefore be included in the following publication. The model-based unemployment estimates (and the direct APS survey estimates) represent valid estimates for the period to which they refer but because, as explained above, estimates from consecutive quarters are based on common observations they are not independent, and should not be used for comparisons over time. Comparisons over time for say the latest annual estimate should only be made using estimates for the same period a year earlier, as the data for these two periods will not include any common observations. Estimates of economic activity status are usually taken from surveys of individuals (nationally from the Labour Force Survey, and from the annual Labour Force Survey or Annual Population Survey for smaller areas). However for most local areas, even the Annual Population Survey does not have a sufficiently large sample to provide precise estimates of unemployment. For this reason a statistical model has been developed to improve the annual LFS/APS estimates of unemployment, for small areas, by using supplementary information, mainly the numbers of claimants of Jobseekers' Allowance (the claimant count). The claimant count is not a measure of unemployment as not all unemployed people are eligible for the benefit (and some legitimate claimants would be considered to be employed under the International Labour Organization definition of employment). However, the claimant count does have a high positive correlation with the number of unemployed people in an area, and it is an administrative count so it is known without sampling error. The model considers unemployment from the annual LFS/APS and claimant count for six age and sex groups, and also includes a socio-economic area indicator and a random area effect. The relationship between claimant count and the number of unemployed may be different in two areas in spite of them sharing the same factors in the model and this last term is included in order to model these random local differences. The inclusion of the random effect term gives the model-based estimates the property that, for sufficiently large samples, they will coincide with the direct survey estimates. xsd:string
Graph http://publishmydata.com/def/dataset#graph
http://statistics.gov.scot/graph/unemployment-model-based-estimates
Has a SPARQL endpoint at void:sparqlEndpoint http://rdfs.org/ns/void#sparqlEndpoint
http://statistics.gov.scot/sparql
http://publishmydata.com/def/dataset#nextUpdateDue http://publishmydata.com/def/dataset#nextUpdateDue
April 2019 xsd:string
In folder http://publishmydata.com/def/ontology/folder/inFolder
Economic Activity, Benefits and Tax Credits http://statistics.gov.scot/def/concept/folders/themes/economic-activity-benefits-and-tax-credits
Scottish Government http://statistics.gov.scot/def/concept/folders/organisations/scottish-government
Label rdfs:label http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Unemployment Model Based Estimates xsd:string
License dcterms:license http://purl.org/dc/terms/license
http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/2/
Publisher dcterms:publisher http://purl.org/dc/terms/publisher
Scottish Government http://statistics.gov.scot/id/organisation/scottish-government
Quality Management http://statistics.gov.scot/def/statistical-quality/quality-management
Details on the methodology and quality assurance of Annual Population Survey data can be found on the [ONS website](https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/methodologies/annualpopulationsurveyapsqmi) xsd:string
References dcterms:references http://purl.org/dc/terms/references
http://statistics.gov.scot/help http://statistics.gov.scot/help
Theme dcat:theme http://www.w3.org/ns/dcat#theme
Economic Activity, Benefits and Tax Credits http://statistics.gov.scot/def/concept/folders/themes/economic-activity-benefits-and-tax-credits
Scottish Government http://statistics.gov.scot/def/concept/folders/organisations/scottish-government
Title dcterms:title http://purl.org/dc/terms/title
Unemployment Model Based Estimates xsd:string
Type rdf:type http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
Data set http://purl.org/linked-data/cube#DataSet
Dataset http://publishmydata.com/def/dataset#Dataset
http://publishmydata.com/def/dataset#LinkedDataset
dataset http://rdfs.org/ns/void#Dataset
Dataset http://www.w3.org/ns/dcat#Dataset
In Graph http://statistics.gov.scot/graph/unemployment-model-based-estimates
Structure qb:structure http://purl.org/linked-data/cube#structure
http://statistics.gov.scot/data/structure/unemployment-model-based-estimates http://statistics.gov.scot/data/structure/unemployment-model-based-estimates
Type rdf:type http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
Data set http://purl.org/linked-data/cube#DataSet
Machine-readable formats

In addition to this bookmarkable html page, this dataset metadata is also available for our robot customers in the following machine-readable formats. Please refer to the API documentation for more details.

dataset metadata JSON RDF/XML Turtle N-Triples Atom